Dukagjini
vs
Drenica Skënderaj
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dukagjini
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj
| Probability | Dukagjini | Draw | Drenica Skënderaj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 31.0% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.6% | 31.0% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dukagjini
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj match preview
Dukagjini faces Drenica Skënderaj in the Kosovo Superliga with a probability of 44% for a Dukagjini victory, while a draw stands at 30% and a Drenica win at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.33 for Dukagjini and 0.95 for Drenica Skënderaj.
In terms of recent form, Dukagjini has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Drenica Skënderaj has struggled with one win, three losses, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters shows Dukagjini with one win, Drenica Skënderaj also with one win, and three matches ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukagjini and Drenica Skënderaj expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Dukagjini and Drenica Skënderaj attack and defence ratings
Dukagjini
Drenica Skënderaj
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukagjini | 44.6% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Drenica Skënderaj | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukagjini win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj stats
Dukagjini and Drenica Skënderaj recent form
| Dukagjini |
WDLDWW |
| Drenica Skënderaj |
LDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukagjini and Drenica Skënderaj season so far
Dukagjini record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Drenica Skënderaj | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Dukagjini | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Drenica Skënderaj | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Dukagjini | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Drenica Skënderaj | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.