Drenica Skënderaj
vs
Feronikeli
Garuda Lions Prediction: Drenica Skënderaj
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli
| Probability | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.0% | 26.4% | 22.6% |
| Market | 47.9% | 27.3% | 24.9% |
| Final | 48.7% | 27.1% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +3.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
Why Drenica Skënderaj
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.06.
- The market prices Drenica Skënderaj below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli match preview
Drenica Skënderaj is favored to win against Feronikeli with a 49% probability, while a draw stands at 27% and Feronikeli at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Drenica Skënderaj, with an expected goals tally of 1.69 for them and 1.06 for Feronikeli. Both teams have a 54% chance of scoring, and there is a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Drenica Skënderaj has recorded one win, two losses, and three draws in their last six matches, while Feronikeli has won two and lost four in their last six. Historically, Drenica Skënderaj has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning seven out of the last ten matches against Feronikeli, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Drenica Skënderaj and Feronikeli expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Drenica Skënderaj and Feronikeli attack and defence ratings
Drenica Skënderaj
Feronikeli
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 48.7% | 2.06 | +3.2% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 48.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Feronikeli | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drenica Skënderaj win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli stats
Drenica Skënderaj and Feronikeli recent form
| Drenica Skënderaj |
WLLDLD |
| Feronikeli |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drenica Skënderaj and Feronikeli season so far
Drenica Skënderaj record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Feronikeli record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-22 | Feronikeli | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2022-04-03 | Drenica Skënderaj | Feronikeli | Superliga | 6-0 |
| 2021-12-11 | Feronikeli | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2021-10-15 | Drenica Skënderaj | Feronikeli | Superliga | 4-0 |
| 2021-04-24 | Drenica Skënderaj | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-25 | Feronikeli | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2020-11-10 | Drenica Skënderaj | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-26 | Feronikeli | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2020-06-25 | Feronikeli | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-26 | Drenica Skënderaj | Feronikeli | Superliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Feronikeli odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 27.3%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.28 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.28 | 3.54 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .