Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Drita vs Malisheva

0 – 1 Full time

Drita 35%
Draw 28%
Malisheva 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Drita vs Malisheva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Drita vs Malisheva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDritaDrawMalisheva
Model34.2%26.8%38.9%
Market35.5%28.2%36.3%
Final35.2%27.9%36.9%
Edge-1.3%-1.4%+2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Malisheva

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Malisheva below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Drita ↓ / Malisheva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Drita and Malisheva expected goals

Drita 1.42
Malisheva 1.53

Total expected goals: 2.95

Drita and Malisheva attack and defence ratings

Drita

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Malisheva

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Drita vs Malisheva: result vs prediction

Drita 0 – 1 Malisheva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Drita vs Malisheva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malisheva 36.9% 2.71 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.4% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.9% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Drita35.2%
Draw27.9%
Malisheva36.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.4%
No39.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.1%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Malisheva win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss60.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%

Drita vs Malisheva stats

Drita and Malisheva recent form

newest first
Drita WDLDWD
Malisheva WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Drita and Malisheva going into this match

league record before kick-off

Drita record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Malisheva record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.

Drita vs Malisheva head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Drita wins 4Draws 2Malisheva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31MalishevaDritaKosovo Superliga3-2
2026-04-05DritaMalishevaKosovo Superliga2-0
2025-12-21MalishevaDritaKosovo Superliga1-1
2025-10-18DritaMalishevaKosovo Superliga2-1
2025-04-13MalishevaDritaSuperliga1-0
2025-02-07DritaMalishevaSuperliga2-0
2024-10-27MalishevaDritaSuperliga0-0
2024-09-18DritaMalishevaSuperliga2-1
2024-05-25DritaMalishevaSuperliga1-1
2024-03-30MalishevaDritaSuperliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Drita vs Malisheva odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 28.2%, away 36.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.52 3.15 2.45
Bet365 2.55 3.20 2.45
BetVictor 2.40 2.88 2.30
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.62
Betfair 2.50 3.30 2.50
Dafabet 2.41 3.25 2.65
Marathonbet 2.52 3.15 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.07
X 3.15 ▼ -0.02
2 2.45 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .