Drenica Skënderaj
vs
Drita
Garuda Lions Prediction: Drita
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.88.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita
| Probability | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.5% | 24.5% | 59.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.5% | 24.5% | 59.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Drita
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita match preview
Drenica Skënderaj faces Drita in the Kosovo Superliga with the model indicating a 16% chance of a home victory, while Drita is favored with a 59% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is projected at 0-2, occurring at an 11% likelihood. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Drenica Skënderaj recording two losses and a win in their last five matches, while Drita has won four of their last five.
The expected goals for Drenica Skënderaj stand at 0.88, compared to Drita's 1.84. The model suggests a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability for both teams to score. In their last ten encounters, Drenica Skënderaj has secured three wins, while Drita has claimed five victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita attack and defence ratings
Drenica Skënderaj
Drita
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 16.5% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Drita | 59.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 0-2 | 11.2% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita stats
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita recent form
| Drenica Skënderaj |
LLDLDW |
| Drita |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita season so far
Drenica Skënderaj record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Drita record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Drenica Skënderaj | Drita | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Drenica Skënderaj | Drita | Kosovo Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Drenica Skënderaj | Drita | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-02 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2022-11-26 | Drenica Skënderaj | Drita | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2022-10-01 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Drita | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.