Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Feronikeli vs Malisheva

0 – 3 Full time

Feronikeli 19%
Draw 21%
Malisheva 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Feronikeli vs Malisheva overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Feronikeli vs Malisheva

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFeronikeliDrawMalisheva
Model18.7%21.2%60.1%
Market———
Final18.7%21.2%60.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Malisheva

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Feronikeli ↓ / Malisheva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 6% 6% 1 9% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Feronikeli and Malisheva expected goals

Feronikeli 1.22
Malisheva 2.28

Total expected goals: 3.50

Feronikeli and Malisheva attack and defence ratings

Feronikeli

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Malisheva

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Feronikeli vs Malisheva: result vs prediction

Feronikeli 0 – 3 Malisheva

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Feronikeli vs Malisheva markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malisheva 60.1% 1.66 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.6% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Feronikeli18.7%
Draw21.2%
Malisheva60.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.9%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)81.3%
Handicap -1Malisheva win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss39.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.6%
1-19.3%
0-27.8%

Feronikeli vs Malisheva stats

Feronikeli and Malisheva recent form

newest first
Feronikeli LL
Malisheva DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Feronikeli vs Malisheva head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Feronikeli wins 4Draws 5Malisheva wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-11MalishevaFeronikeliSuperliga1-0
2025-03-16FeronikeliMalishevaSuperliga0-0
2024-12-08MalishevaFeronikeliSuperliga0-0
2024-09-29FeronikeliMalishevaSuperliga1-1
2024-04-27FeronikeliMalishevaSuperliga2-1
2024-02-24MalishevaFeronikeliSuperliga2-1
2024-02-03FeronikeliMalishevaCup1-3
2023-11-04FeronikeliMalishevaSuperliga0-0
2023-09-02MalishevaFeronikeliSuperliga4-1
2022-05-01FeronikeliMalishevaSuperliga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Feronikeli vs Malisheva odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.