Malisheva
vs
Gjilani
3 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | V. Isgandarli | ||
| 19′ | O. Bilalli | ||
| 71′ | V. Isgandarli | ||
| 75′ | V. Isgandarli |
Malisheva vs Gjilani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malisheva vs Gjilani
| Probability | Malisheva | Draw | Gjilani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.8% | 19.3% | 18.9% |
| Market | 39.1% | 27.7% | 33.2% |
| Final | 44.8% | 25.6% | 29.6% |
| Edge | +22.7% | -8.5% | -14.2% |
Why Malisheva
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.41.
- The market prices Malisheva below the model: +22.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malisheva and Gjilani expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Malisheva and Gjilani attack and defence ratings
Malisheva
Gjilani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malisheva vs Gjilani: result vs prediction
Malisheva 3 – 1 Gjilani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malisheva vs Gjilani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 44.8% | 2.23 | +22.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 44.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Gjilani | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win | 41.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 38.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 1-1 | 7.5% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Malisheva vs Gjilani stats
Malisheva vs Gjilani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Malisheva | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gjilani | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Malisheva | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Gjilani | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-06 | Gjilani | Malisheva | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Malisheva | Gjilani | Superliga | 4-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Gjilani | Malisheva | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Malisheva | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Malisheva | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Gjilani | Malisheva | Superliga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malisheva vs Gjilani odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 27.7%, away 33.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.24 | 2.77 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.24 | 2.71 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .