Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Llapi
vs
Dukagjini
1 – 2 Full time
Llapi
37%
Draw
28%
Dukagjini
35%
Llapi vs Dukagjini overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llapi vs Dukagjini
| Probability | Llapi | Draw | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 28.0% | 35.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 28.0% | 35.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Llapi
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
8%
Llapi and Dukagjini expected goals
Llapi
1.38
Dukagjini
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.74
Llapi and Dukagjini attack and defence ratings
Llapi
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Dukagjini
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llapi vs Dukagjini: result vs prediction
Llapi 1 – 2 Dukagjini
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Llapi vs Dukagjini markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 36.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Dukagjini | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Llapi win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Llapi vs Dukagjini stats
Llapi vs Dukagjini head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Llapi wins
3Draws
4Dukagjini wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Llapi | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Dukagjini | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Llapi | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Dukagjini | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Llapi | Dukagjini | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Dukagjini | Llapi | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-20 | Llapi | Dukagjini | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Dukagjini | Llapi | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Dukagjini | Llapi | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Llapi | Dukagjini | Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.