Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Vushtrria
vs
Llapi
0 – 4 Full time
| 17′ | A. Ramadani | ||
| 36′ | F. Ademi | ||
| 60′ | A. Hasani | ||
| 90′ | M. Cernaverni |
Vushtrria
34%
Draw
27%
Llapi
39%
Vushtrria vs Llapi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vushtrria vs Llapi
| Probability | Vushtrria | Draw | Llapi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 26.5% | 43.0% |
| Market | 35.1% | 27.2% | 37.7% |
| Final | 33.9% | 27.0% | 39.0% |
| Edge | -4.6% | -0.7% | +5.3% |
Why Llapi
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Llapi below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Vushtrria and Llapi expected goals
Vushtrria
1.33
Llapi
1.62
Total expected goals: 2.95
Vushtrria and Llapi attack and defence ratings
Vushtrria
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Llapi
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vushtrria vs Llapi: result vs prediction
Vushtrria 0 – 4 Llapi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vushtrria vs Llapi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 39.0% | 2.56 | +5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vushtrria | 33.9% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Llapi | 39.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Llapi win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Vushtrria vs Llapi stats
Vushtrria vs Llapi head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2Vushtrria wins
1Draws
2Llapi wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | Vushtrria | Llapi | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Llapi | Vushtrria | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2020-07-26 | Vushtrria | Llapi | Superliga | 5-3 |
| 2019-10-26 | Vushtrria | Llapi | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-17 | Llapi | Vushtrria | Superliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vushtrria vs Llapi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 27.2%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.28 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.28 | 2.40 |
| Superbet | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.25 |