Kosovo Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Ballkani vs Feronikeli

2 – 0 Full time

14′A. Dosso
20′A. Diene
Ballkani 71%
Draw 19%
Feronikeli 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ballkani vs Feronikeli overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ballkani vs Feronikeli

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBallkaniDrawFeronikeli
Model64.8%20.8%14.4%
Market73.5%18.5%8.0%
Final71.3%19.0%9.6%
Edge-8.7%+2.3%+6.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Ballkani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ballkani ↓ / Feronikeli → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 7% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Ballkani and Feronikeli expected goals

Ballkani 2.23
Feronikeli 0.97

Total expected goals: 3.20

Ballkani and Feronikeli attack and defence ratings

Ballkani

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Feronikeli

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ballkani vs Feronikeli: result vs prediction

Ballkani 2 – 0 Feronikeli

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Ballkani vs Feronikeli markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ballkani 71.3% 1.40 -8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.4% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Ballkani win 42.5% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ballkani71.3%
Draw19.0%
Feronikeli9.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes56.4%
No43.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.4%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)28.7%
Handicap -1Ballkani win42.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss35.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.1%
2-19.8%
1-19.7%

Ballkani vs Feronikeli stats

Ballkani and Feronikeli recent form

newest first
Ballkani WWLWLW
Feronikeli LLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ballkani vs Feronikeli head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Ballkani wins 3Draws 0Feronikeli wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-21FeronikeliBallkaniSuperliga3-3
2025-02-21BallkaniFeronikeliSuperliga1-1
2024-11-04FeronikeliBallkaniSuperliga1-4
2024-08-25BallkaniFeronikeliSuperliga3-1
2024-04-13FeronikeliBallkaniSuperliga0-2
2024-02-16BallkaniFeronikeliSuperliga2-2
2023-10-29FeronikeliBallkaniSuperliga0-3
2023-08-20BallkaniFeronikeliSuperliga2-0
2022-05-08FeronikeliBallkaniSuperliga0-2
2022-03-12BallkaniFeronikeliSuperliga6-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ballkani vs Feronikeli odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.5%, draw 18.5%, away 8.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 4.90 11.80
Bet365 1.27 4.75 8.50
Marathonbet 1.22 4.90 11.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.23 ▼ -0.08
X 4.90 ▼ -0.10
2 11.25 ▲ +3.40

2 snapshots recorded, from .