Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Drenica Skënderaj
vs
Ballkani
0 – 2 Full time
Drenica Skënderaj
51%
Draw
24%
Ballkani
25%
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani
| Probability | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Ballkani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Drenica Skënderaj
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Drenica Skënderaj and Ballkani expected goals
Drenica Skënderaj
1.92
Ballkani
1.31
Total expected goals: 3.23
Drenica Skënderaj and Ballkani attack and defence ratings
Drenica Skënderaj
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Ballkani
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani: result vs prediction
Drenica Skënderaj 0 – 2 Ballkani
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 50.8% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Ballkani | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drenica Skënderaj win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani stats
Drenica Skënderaj and Ballkani recent form
| Drenica Skënderaj |
DDWWLW |
| Ballkani |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Ballkani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Drenica Skënderaj wins
1Draws
7Ballkani wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ballkani | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Ballkani | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-06 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-19 | Ballkani | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Ballkani | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-15 | Drenica Skënderaj | Ballkani | Superliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.