Kosovo Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Gjilani
vs
Dukagjini
2 – 2 Full time
Gjilani
50%
Draw
28%
Dukagjini
22%
Gjilani vs Dukagjini overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gjilani vs Dukagjini
| Probability | Gjilani | Draw | Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.4% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.4% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gjilani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Gjilani and Dukagjini expected goals
Gjilani
1.53
Dukagjini
0.95
Total expected goals: 2.48
Gjilani and Dukagjini attack and defence ratings
Gjilani
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Dukagjini
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gjilani vs Dukagjini: result vs prediction
Gjilani 2 – 2 Dukagjini
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gjilani vs Dukagjini markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 50.4% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Dukagjini | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Gjilani vs Dukagjini stats
Gjilani vs Dukagjini head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Gjilani wins
4Draws
5Dukagjini wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Kosovo Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Dukagjini | Gjilani | Superliga | 2-4 |
| 2024-03-31 | Gjilani | Dukagjini | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.