Bokelj
vs
Arsenal Tivat
0 – 0 Full time
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat
| Probability | Bokelj | Draw | Arsenal Tivat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 39.1% | 16.5% |
| Market | 41.5% | 30.5% | 28.0% |
| Final | 42.2% | 32.7% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +8.6% | -11.5% |
Why Bokelj
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.92 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bokelj below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bokelj and Arsenal Tivat expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.38
Bokelj and Arsenal Tivat attack and defence ratings
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat: result vs prediction
Bokelj 0 – 0 Arsenal Tivat
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 42.2% | 2.37 | +2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 42.2% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| Arsenal Tivat | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 16.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 23.1% |
| No | 76.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 26.3% |
| 1-0 | 22.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat stats
Bokelj and Arsenal Tivat recent form
| Bokelj |
LWWWDW |
| Arsenal Tivat |
DDDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bokelj and Arsenal Tivat going into this match
Bokelj record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Bokelj | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Arsenal Tivat | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 30.5%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 2.98 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 2.95 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 2.98 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.05 | 3.27 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 2.92 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .