Montenegro First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Arsenal Tivat
vs
Otrant-Olympic
1 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | L. Lambulic | ||
| 23′ | G. Petovic | ||
| 40′ | V. Rudovic | ||
| 42′ | I. Vukcevic | ||
| 46′ | G. PetovicM. Maras | ||
| 46′ | A. GolubP. Malisic | ||
| 46′ | A. AbdullahiV. Kascelan | ||
| 63′ | A. BosnjakA. Taipi | ||
| 72′ | P. VukovicE. Seratlic | ||
| 75′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 76′ | Arsenal Tivat | ||
| 78′ | K. VujacicR. Kaneda | ||
| 80′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 80′ | L. LambulicE. Decbitric | ||
| 86′ | S. MandicM. Djukanovic | ||
| 86′ | A. Taipi | ||
| 90′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 90′ | Arsenal Tivat |
Arsenal Tivat
38%
Draw
35%
Otrant-Olympic
27%
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic
| Probability | Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Otrant-Olympic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.4% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Arsenal Tivat and Otrant-Olympic expected goals
Arsenal Tivat
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
0.81
Total expected goals: 1.84
Arsenal Tivat and Otrant-Olympic attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Tivat
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Otrant-Olympic
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic: result vs prediction
Arsenal Tivat 1 – 2 Otrant-Olympic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Tivat | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Tivat | 38.4% |
| Draw | 34.8% | |
| Otrant-Olympic | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arsenal Tivat win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Arsenal Tivat vs Otrant-Olympic stats
Arsenal Tivat and Otrant-Olympic recent form
| Arsenal Tivat |
DDDDLW |
| Otrant-Olympic |
LWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arsenal Tivat and Otrant-Olympic going into this match
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Otrant-Olympic record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.