Montenegro First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Sutjeska
vs
Mladost DG
5 – 1 Full time
Sutjeska
25%
Draw
31%
Mladost DG
44%
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Mladost DG
| Probability | Sutjeska | Draw | Mladost DG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 30.6% | 44.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.2% | 30.6% | 44.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mladost DG
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Sutjeska and Mladost DG expected goals
Sutjeska
0.94
Mladost DG
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.26
Sutjeska and Mladost DG attack and defence ratings
Sutjeska
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Mladost DG
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG: result vs prediction
Sutjeska 5 – 1 Mladost DG
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 25.2% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Mladost DG | 44.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mladost DG win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.7% |
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG stats
Sutjeska and Mladost DG recent form
| Sutjeska |
DLLLLL |
| Mladost DG |
DLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sutjeska and Mladost DG going into this match
Sutjeska record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mladost DG record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Sutjeska wins
3Draws
1Mladost DG wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | First League | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-13 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | First League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Mladost DG | Sutjeska | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Sutjeska | Mladost DG | First League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.