Montenegro First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Dečić
vs
Jezero
2 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | B. Radusinovic | ||
| 19′ | A. Nishimura | ||
| 23′ | U. Bulatovic | ||
| 53′ | U. Djuranovic | ||
| 63′ | M. KojicI. Redzepagic | ||
| 63′ | A. SkrijeljM. Bojovic | ||
| 63′ | V. TerzicB. Pavicevic | ||
| 63′ | D. JovanovicB. Boricic | ||
| 65′ | A. CetkovicP. Pavlicevic | ||
| 65′ | B. RadusinovicM. Jukovic | ||
| 75′ | M. DjokajP. Ivanovic | ||
| 78′ | A. OsmanovicE. Redzepagic | ||
| 80′ | Dečić | ||
| 82′ | Dečić | ||
| 89′ | U. DjuranovicS. Stanisavic |
Dečić
49%
Draw
32%
Jezero
19%
Dečić vs Jezero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dečić vs Jezero
| Probability | Dečić | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 32.0% | 19.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.9% | 32.0% | 19.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dečić
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.68.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
31%
No goals
16%
Dečić and Jezero expected goals
Dečić
1.26
Jezero
0.68
Total expected goals: 1.94
Dečić and Jezero attack and defence ratings
Dečić
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Jezero
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dečić vs Jezero: result vs prediction
Dečić 2 – 1 Jezero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dečić vs Jezero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 48.9% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Jezero | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dečić win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 0-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Dečić vs Jezero stats
Dečić and Jezero recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dečić and Jezero going into this match
Dečić record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Jezero record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Dečić vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
3Dečić wins
0Draws
1Jezero wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Dečić | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Jezero | Dečić | Montenegro First League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Dečić | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Jezero | Dečić | Montenegro First League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.