Montenegro First League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Petrovac
vs
Mornar
1 – 1 Full time
Petrovac
29%
Draw
37%
Mornar
35%
Petrovac vs Mornar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrovac vs Mornar
| Probability | Petrovac | Draw | Mornar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 36.8% | 34.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.6% | 36.8% | 34.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
20%
Petrovac and Mornar expected goals
Petrovac
0.79
Mornar
0.89
Total expected goals: 1.68
Petrovac and Mornar attack and defence ratings
Petrovac
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Mornar
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Petrovac vs Mornar: result vs prediction
Petrovac 1 – 1 Mornar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrovac vs Mornar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrovac | 28.6% |
| Draw | 36.8% | |
| Mornar | 34.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.7% |
| No | 66.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.8% |
| 0-1 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Petrovac vs Mornar stats
Petrovac and Mornar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrovac and Mornar going into this match
Petrovac record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mornar record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Petrovac vs Mornar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Petrovac wins
4Draws
4Mornar wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Mornar | Petrovac | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Mornar | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Petrovac | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Mornar | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Petrovac | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Petrovac | Mornar | First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Mornar | Petrovac | First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Petrovac | Mornar | First League | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Mornar | Petrovac | First League | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-03 | Mornar | Petrovac | First League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.