Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Mornar vs Bokelj

2 – 0 Full time

9′A. Soussi
18′A. Soussi
59′F. MukovicN. Radusinovic
59′M. KucB. Djordjevic
69′V. Hugo
76′D. PerovicI. Pocek
79′Y. YaoM. Cukovic
79′J. BaosicF. Mitrovic
79′P. VukcevicM. Rovcanin
82′N. Radusinovic
83′M. CavorL. Maras
83′V. HugoA. Krivokapic
86′D. SkrijeljV. Dragovic
90′J. DasicD. Dakic

Stadion Topolica, Bar

Mornar 53%
Draw 29%
Bokelj 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mornar vs Bokelj overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mornar vs Bokelj

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMornarDrawBokelj
Model34.0%42.3%23.8%
Market59.9%24.5%15.6%
Final53.4%29.0%17.6%
Edge-25.9%+17.7%+8.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mornar ↓ / Bokelj → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 29% 14% 1 19% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 71%
2+ goals 38%
3+ goals 14%
No goals 29%

Mornar and Bokelj expected goals

Mornar 0.73
Bokelj 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.29

Mornar and Bokelj attack and defence ratings

Mornar

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Bokelj

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mornar vs Bokelj: result vs prediction

Mornar 2 – 0 Bokelj

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Mornar vs Bokelj markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mornar 53.4% 1.87 -25.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 86.0% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score No 76.7% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mornar53.4%
Draw29.0%
Bokelj17.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.514.0%
Under 2.586.0%
Both teams to scoreYes23.3%
No76.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.4%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)46.6%
Handicap -1Mornar win10.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-028.7%
1-018.9%
0-114.4%

Mornar vs Bokelj stats

Mornar and Bokelj recent form

newest first
Mornar DWWDDL
Bokelj DDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mornar and Bokelj going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mornar record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Bokelj record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mornar vs Bokelj head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Mornar wins 3Draws 1Bokelj wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10MornarBokeljMontenegro First League0-0
2026-03-11BokeljMornarMontenegro First League1-2
2025-11-09MornarBokeljMontenegro First League0-0
2025-09-13BokeljMornarMontenegro First League1-2
2025-05-18MornarBokeljFirst League4-1
2025-03-29BokeljMornarFirst League0-2
2024-11-27MornarBokeljCup3-0
2024-11-23MornarBokeljFirst League1-1
2024-09-22BokeljMornarFirst League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mornar vs Bokelj odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 24.5%, away 15.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.48 3.60 6.00
1xBet 1.45 3.72 7.00
Bet365 1.53 3.70 5.50
BetVictor 1.45 3.90 6.50
Betano 1.53 3.80 5.70
Betfair 1.53 3.75 5.00
Dafabet 1.53 3.80 6.00
Marathonbet 1.47 3.62 6.40
Pinnacle 1.51 3.60 5.67
William Hill 1.57 3.40 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.52 ▼ -0.04
X 3.71 ▲ +0.01
2 5.85 ▲ +0.85

2 snapshots recorded, from .