Sutjeska
vs
Mornar
1 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | D. Hocko | ||
| 62′ | P. AnicicA. Boljevic | ||
| 62′ | V. CavorA. Kecojevic | ||
| 65′ | D. DakicM. Rovcanin | ||
| 68′ | M. CamaraD. Cetkovic | ||
| 74′ | J. Cadjenovic | ||
| 78′ | J. CadjenovicK. Campbell | ||
| 79′ | D. Cetkovic |
Sutjeska vs Mornar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Mornar
| Probability | Sutjeska | Draw | Mornar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 31.5% | 42.5% |
| Market | 36.0% | 31.4% | 32.6% |
| Final | 33.5% | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +0.1% | +9.9% |
Why Mornar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mornar below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sutjeska and Mornar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Sutjeska and Mornar attack and defence ratings
Sutjeska
Mornar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sutjeska vs Mornar: result vs prediction
Sutjeska 1 – 0 Mornar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sutjeska vs Mornar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 35.1% | 2.85 | +9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 33.5% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Mornar | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Sutjeska vs Mornar stats
Sutjeska and Mornar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sutjeska and Mornar going into this match
Sutjeska record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mornar record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Sutjeska vs Mornar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Mornar | Sutjeska | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mornar | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sutjeska | Mornar | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-10 | Sutjeska | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Mornar | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Sutjeska | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Mornar | Sutjeska | First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-12 | Sutjeska | Mornar | First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Mornar | Sutjeska | First League | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Sutjeska | Mornar | First League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sutjeska vs Mornar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.0%, draw 31.4%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 2.81 | 2.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.95 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 2.81 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59 | 2.80 | 2.87 |
| Superbet | 2.52 | 2.82 | 2.77 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.70 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .