Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Dečić vs Petrovac

1 – 1 Full time

20′D. Bakic
28′A. Cetkovic
44′M. Bozanovic
45′M. Kordic
46′V. StrikovicI. Vukcevic
46′D. BakicN. Janjic
47′T. Selimi
54′L. Ujkaj
61′B. RadusinovicM. Gjolaj
61′Z. DivanovicN. Balevic
70′T. SelimiO. Obradovic
75′M. DjokajM. Jukovic
88′U. DjuranovicA. Adzovic
88′M. BozanovicS. Stanisavic
88′P. PavlicevicP. Ivanovic

Tusko, Tuzi

Dečić 40%
Draw 34%
Petrovac 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dečić vs Petrovac overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dečić vs Petrovac

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDečićDrawPetrovac
Model42.1%37.3%20.7%
Market38.7%33.4%28.0%
Final39.5%34.3%26.1%
Edge+3.4%+3.9%-7.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Dečić

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Dečić below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dečić ↓ / Petrovac → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 11% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 48%
3+ goals 21%
No goals 22%

Dečić and Petrovac expected goals

Dečić 0.97
Petrovac 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.56

Dečić and Petrovac attack and defence ratings

Dečić

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Petrovac

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dečić vs Petrovac: result vs prediction

Dečić 1 – 1 Petrovac

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Dečić vs Petrovac markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dečić 39.5% 2.53 +3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.3% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score No 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dečić39.5%
Draw34.3%
Petrovac26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.7%
Under 2.579.3%
Both teams to scoreYes29.0%
No71.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)65.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1Dečić win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.2%
1-019.1%
1-113.3%

Dečić vs Petrovac stats

Dečić and Petrovac recent form

newest first
Dečić LWWWWD
Petrovac DDDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dečić and Petrovac going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dečić record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Petrovac record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Dečić vs Petrovac head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Dečić wins 6Draws 1Petrovac wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02PetrovacDečićMontenegro First League1-1
2026-03-07DečićPetrovacMontenegro First League0-1
2025-11-02PetrovacDečićMontenegro First League1-1
2025-08-31DečićPetrovacMontenegro First League2-2
2025-05-18DečićPetrovacFirst League1-1
2025-04-30DečićPetrovacCup2-2
2025-04-16PetrovacDečićCup0-1
2025-03-29PetrovacDečićFirst League0-0
2024-11-23DečićPetrovacFirst League1-0
2024-09-22PetrovacDečićFirst League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dečić vs Petrovac odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 33.4%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 2.85 3.10
1xBet 2.34 2.68 3.32
Bet365 2.20 2.62 3.00
BetVictor 2.30 3.00 3.10
Betano 2.35 2.70 3.40
Betfair 2.30 2.90 3.00
Dafabet 2.39 2.70 3.40
Marathonbet 2.33 2.68 3.22
Pinnacle 2.45 2.52 3.50
Superbet 2.32 2.67 3.25
William Hill 2.40 2.70 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.13
X 2.70 ▼ -0.15
2 3.22 ▼ -0.18

3 snapshots recorded, from .