Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG

0 – 1 Full time

25′J. Nikolic
43′S. Mandic
45′A. Jovanovic
46′J. NikolicA. Cepic
48′M. Zivanovic
62′M. DjukanovicA. Golub
70′I. SahmanV. Kascelan
72′L. KnezevicD. Mugosa
82′P. MalisicR. Kaneda
82′K. VujacicP. Soskic
82′A. AbdullahiN. Erakovic
82′M. LalevicJ. Roganovic
86′D. Mugosa
87′A. JovanovicS. Mijovic
87′N. PavlicevicK. Radunovic

Stadion u Parku, Tivat

Arsenal Tivat 38%
Draw 30%
Mladost DG 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArsenal TivatDrawMladost DG
Model35.0%29.1%35.9%
Market39.3%30.3%30.4%
Final38.2%30.0%31.7%
Edge-4.3%-1.2%+5.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arsenal Tivat ↓ / Mladost DG → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG expected goals

Arsenal Tivat 1.27
Mladost DG 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.56

Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG attack and defence ratings

Arsenal Tivat

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Mladost DG

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG: result vs prediction

Arsenal Tivat 0 – 1 Mladost DG

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arsenal Tivat 38.2% 2.61 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arsenal Tivat38.2%
Draw30.0%
Mladost DG31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.2%
Under 2.552.8%
Both teams to scoreYes53.4%
No46.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Arsenal Tivat win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-09.0%
0-18.7%

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG stats

Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG recent form

newest first
Arsenal Tivat LLDDDD
Mladost DG WLDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arsenal Tivat record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Arsenal Tivat wins 1Draws 5Mladost DG wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-01Arsenal TivatMladost DGFriendlies Clubs1-0
2026-05-24Arsenal TivatMladost DGMontenegro First League1-4
2026-04-04Mladost DGArsenal TivatMontenegro First League1-2
2025-12-06Arsenal TivatMladost DGMontenegro First League0-0
2025-09-27Mladost DGArsenal TivatMontenegro First League2-0
2024-05-18Arsenal TivatMladost DGFirst League3-1
2024-03-17Mladost DGArsenal TivatFirst League1-2
2023-11-26Arsenal TivatMladost DGFirst League0-2
2023-09-16Mladost DGArsenal TivatFirst League2-1
2022-05-01Mladost DGArsenal TivatSecond League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.3%, draw 30.2%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 2.97 3.02
Bet365 2.25 3.00 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.10 3.00
Betano 2.32 3.05 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.90
Dafabet 2.40 3.05 3.00
Marathonbet 2.29 2.97 2.96
Pinnacle 2.34 3.03 3.00
Superbet 2.37 3.00 2.95
William Hill 2.30 2.80 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.08
X 2.99 ▼ -0.01
2 2.98 ▲ +0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .