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Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica

0 – 2 Full time

8′P. Vujovic
40′A. Pupovic
61′L. Popovic
62′M. JovanovicM. Vusurovic
62′A. CausevicN. Kovinic
62′N. PavlicevicM. Lalevic
66′N. Kovinic
71′N. CordobaV. Mijovic
76′I. BojovicI. Ivanovic
80′S. AlmeidaK. Radunovic
80′S. RadinovicS. Mijovic
80′J. NikolicO. Djinovic
82′M. RaspopovicC. Ondong-Mba
82′P. VujovicM. Rakcevic

DG Arena, Podgorica

Mladost DG 36%
Draw 32%
Buducnost Podgorica 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost DGDrawBuducnost Podgorica
Model43.3%33.9%22.8%
Market33.0%30.9%36.1%
Final35.6%31.6%32.8%
Edge+10.3%+3.0%-13.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Mladost DG

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.13 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mladost DG below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost DG ↓ / Buducnost Podg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 10% 1 16% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals

Mladost DG 1.13
Buducnost Podgorica 0.74

Total expected goals: 1.87

Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica attack and defence ratings

Mladost DG

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Buducnost Podgorica

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica: result vs prediction

Mladost DG 0 – 2 Buducnost Podgorica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mladost DG 35.6% 2.81 +10.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.4% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost DG35.6%
Draw31.6%
Buducnost Podgorica32.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.7%
Under 2.571.3%
Both teams to scoreYes36.7%
No63.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.2%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1Mladost DG win18.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.7%
1-016.1%
1-114.2%

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica stats

Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica recent form

newest first
Mladost DG WWLDLL
Buducnost Podgorica WLDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Buducnost Podgorica record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Mladost DG wins 1Draws 3Buducnost Podgorica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Buducnost PodgoricaMladost DGMontenegro First League0-1
2026-03-07Mladost DGBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League1-4
2025-11-02Buducnost PodgoricaMladost DGMontenegro First League0-1
2025-08-31Mladost DGBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League3-1
2024-04-03Buducnost PodgoricaMladost DGFirst League1-2
2023-12-10Mladost DGBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League1-3
2023-09-27Buducnost PodgoricaMladost DGFirst League2-2
2023-07-22Mladost DGBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League2-1
2022-01-25Buducnost PodgoricaMladost DGFriendlies Clubs8-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 30.9%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.72 2.91 2.49
Bet365 2.70 3.10 2.38
Betano 2.75 3.00 2.55
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.40
Marathonbet 2.72 2.91 2.49
Pinnacle 2.77 2.91 2.58
William Hill 2.70 2.75 2.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.