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Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Bokelj vs Mladost DG

3 – 0 Full time

21′D. Talovic
28′D. Perovic
38′D. Talovic
46′N. CordobaK. Radunovic
46′A. CepicV. Mijovic
46′N. JovicicZ. Ceklic
53′K. Radunovic
57′N. PavlicevicM. Lalevic
61′D. Mugosa
71′L. KnezevicS. Mijovic
71′D. PerovicA. Kumburovic
71′D. TalovicI. Pocek
71′MarcondeleB. Djordjevic
84′B. NurkovicL. Maras
90′N. RadusinovicV. Bubanja

Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor

Bokelj 42%
Draw 31%
Mladost DG 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bokelj vs Mladost DG overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bokelj vs Mladost DG

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBokeljDrawMladost DG
Model48.0%32.9%19.1%
Market40.3%30.7%29.0%
Final42.2%31.2%26.5%
Edge+7.7%+2.3%-9.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Bokelj

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.66.
  • The market prices Bokelj below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bokelj ↓ / Mladost DG → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 9% 1 17% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Bokelj and Mladost DG expected goals

Bokelj 1.21
Mladost DG 0.66

Total expected goals: 1.87

Bokelj and Mladost DG attack and defence ratings

Bokelj

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Mladost DG

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bokelj vs Mladost DG: result vs prediction

Bokelj 3 – 0 Mladost DG

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Bokelj vs Mladost DG markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bokelj 42.2% 2.37 +7.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.2% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bokelj42.2%
Draw31.2%
Mladost DG26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.8%
Under 2.571.2%
Both teams to scoreYes35.1%
No64.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Bokelj win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.9%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.4%
0-016.7%
1-113.6%

Bokelj vs Mladost DG stats

Bokelj and Mladost DG recent form

newest first
Bokelj DWLDDL
Mladost DG LWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bokelj and Mladost DG going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bokelj record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bokelj vs Mladost DG head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Bokelj wins 6Draws 2Mladost DG wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Mladost DGBokeljMontenegro First League0-1
2026-02-21BokeljMladost DGMontenegro First League0-0
2025-10-05Mladost DGBokeljMontenegro First League3-0
2025-08-10BokeljMladost DGMontenegro First League2-2
2023-08-30Mladost DGBokeljCup1-2
2023-05-06BokeljMladost DGSecond League0-0
2023-03-25Mladost DGBokeljSecond League1-0
2022-10-30BokeljMladost DGSecond League0-0
2022-09-11Mladost DGBokeljSecond League0-0
2022-05-20BokeljMladost DGSecond League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bokelj vs Mladost DG odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 30.7%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 2.88 3.16
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.10
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.13
Betano 2.22 3.10 3.15
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.10
Marathonbet 2.23 2.88 3.08
Pinnacle 2.32 2.89 3.17
William Hill 2.30 2.80 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.24 ▼ -0.01
X 2.95 ▲ +0.07
2 3.12 ▲ +0.02

3 snapshots recorded, from .