Arsenal Tivat
vs
Sutjeska
0 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | M. Simun | ||
| 38′ | D. Cetkovic | ||
| 45′ | P. Malisic | ||
| 46′ | P. MalisicM. Djukanovic | ||
| 53′ | S. Mandic | ||
| 60′ | V. CavorM. Camara | ||
| 63′ | S. SesayA. Golub | ||
| 74′ | B. ToskovicA. Kecojevic | ||
| 74′ | D. CetkovicM. Mrvaljevic |
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska
| Probability | Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Sutjeska |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.4% | 32.1% | 36.5% |
| Market | 21.7% | 28.7% | 49.6% |
| Final | 24.2% | 29.5% | 46.3% |
| Edge | +9.7% | +3.4% | -13.1% |
Why Sutjeska
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arsenal Tivat and Sutjeska expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Arsenal Tivat and Sutjeska attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska: result vs prediction
Arsenal Tivat 0 – 2 Sutjeska
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 46.3% | 2.16 | -13.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Tivat | 24.2% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Sutjeska | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-1 | 11.7% |
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska stats
Arsenal Tivat and Sutjeska recent form
| Arsenal Tivat |
WLLLDD |
| Sutjeska |
WWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arsenal Tivat and Sutjeska going into this match
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Sutjeska record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Arsenal Tivat | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 4-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Arsenal Tivat | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Arsenal Tivat | Sutjeska | First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Arsenal Tivat | Sutjeska | First League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-21 | Sutjeska | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Arsenal Tivat | Sutjeska | First League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 28.5%, away 49.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.22 | 3.12 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 4.15 | 3.20 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.12 | 1.79 |
| Pinnacle | 4.32 | 3.17 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 2.90 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .