Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Dečić vs Mornar

1 – 1 Full time

21′N. Medojevic
41′A. Soussi
46′N. MedojevicB. Dubljevic
46′A. SoussiM. Rovcanin
63′N. Stijepovic
64′P. PavlicevicS. Stanisavic
64′M. DjokajA. Cetkovic
73′B. RadusinovicP. Ivanovic
74′S. Stanisavic
76′J. Mugosa
77′D. SkrijeljM. Djurisic
84′J. Mugosa
87′B. Dubljevic
89′J. DresajM. Gjolaj
89′D. KonticA. Adzovic

Tusko, Tuzi

Dečić 38%
Draw 32%
Mornar 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dečić vs Mornar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dečić vs Mornar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDečićDrawMornar
Model34.0%36.2%29.8%
Market39.6%30.3%30.1%
Final38.2%31.8%30.1%
Edge-5.5%+5.8%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dečić ↓ / Mornar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 13% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Dečić and Mornar expected goals

Dečić 0.91
Mornar 0.83

Total expected goals: 1.74

Dečić and Mornar attack and defence ratings

Dečić

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Mornar

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dečić vs Mornar: result vs prediction

Dečić 1 – 1 Mornar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Dečić vs Mornar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dečić 38.2% 2.62 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.6% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.0% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dečić38.2%
Draw31.8%
Mornar30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.4%
Under 2.574.6%
Both teams to scoreYes35.1%
No64.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Dečić win12.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss66.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.8%
1-114.6%
1-014.6%

Dečić vs Mornar stats

Dečić and Mornar recent form

newest first
Dečić LDLWWW
Mornar LLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dečić and Mornar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dečić record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Mornar record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Dečić vs Mornar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Dečić wins 2Draws 3Mornar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-28DečićMornarCup0-1
2026-04-18MornarDečićMontenegro First League1-0
2026-02-25DečićMornarMontenegro First League0-0
2025-10-18MornarDečićMontenegro First League1-0
2025-08-17DečićMornarMontenegro First League2-1
2025-05-29MornarDečićCup0-1
2025-04-26MornarDečićFirst League0-2
2025-03-02DečićMornarFirst League2-0
2024-10-23MornarDečićFirst League1-1
2024-08-21DečićMornarFirst League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dečić vs Mornar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 30.3%, away 30.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 2.98 3.04
Bet365 2.30 3.00 2.90
BetVictor 2.30 3.00 3.10
Betano 2.30 3.05 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.00 3.00
Marathonbet 2.23 2.98 2.96
Pinnacle 2.28 3.08 3.05
William Hill 2.30 2.80 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.04
X 3.00 ▲ +0.12
2 3.02 ▲ +0.11

3 snapshots recorded, from .