Otrant-Olympic
vs
Jezero
4 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | V. Rudovic | ||
| 6′ | M. Raicevic | ||
| 8′ | A. Nishimura | ||
| 18′ | P. Vukovic | ||
| 45′ | B. Boricic | ||
| 45′ | Caique Chagas | ||
| 51′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 60′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 82′ | Otrant-Olympic | ||
| 89′ | Jezero |
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero
| Probability | Otrant-Olympic | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.4% | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| Market | 55.1% | 26.1% | 18.9% |
| Final | 54.9% | 25.9% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -0.7% | +1.3% |
Why Otrant-Olympic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Otrant-Olympic and Jezero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Otrant-Olympic and Jezero attack and defence ratings
Otrant-Olympic
Jezero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero: result vs prediction
Otrant-Olympic 4 – 1 Jezero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 54.9% | 1.82 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 54.9% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Jezero | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero stats
Otrant-Olympic and Jezero recent form
| Otrant-Olympic |
WLWWLW |
| Jezero |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Otrant-Olympic and Jezero going into this match
Otrant-Olympic record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jezero record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-20 | Jezero | Otrant-Olympic | First League | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Otrant-Olympic | Jezero | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Jezero | Otrant-Olympic | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Otrant-Olympic | Jezero | First League | 3-1 |
| 2020-06-03 | Jezero | Otrant-Olympic | Second League | 2-0 |
| 2019-10-27 | Otrant-Olympic | Jezero | Second League | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-04 | Jezero | Otrant-Olympic | Second League | 2-1 |
| 2019-05-05 | Jezero | Otrant-Olympic | Second League | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-20 | Otrant-Olympic | Jezero | Second League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 26.1%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.50 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.40 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.51 | 4.93 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .