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Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG

2 – 2 Full time

16′N. Vukovic
19′L. Lambulic
20′L. Pejovic
39′L. Knezevic
39′A. Rudovic
46′L. PejovicO. Djinovic
48′A. Taipi
56′A. CepicJ. Nikolic
63′S. Almeida
68′D. MugosaM. Lalevic
68′J. RoganovicK. Radunovic
72′L. LambulicA. Rudovic
77′Mladost DG
77′Otrant-Olympic
82′S. KrstovicE. Decbitric
90′Z. CeklicN. Pavlicevic
Otrant-Olympic 59%
Draw 24%
Mladost DG 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOtrant-OlympicDrawMladost DG
Model70.0%19.2%10.8%
Market55.6%25.5%18.9%
Final59.2%23.9%16.9%
Edge+14.4%-6.2%-8.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Otrant-Olympic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Otrant-Olympic below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Otrant-Olympic ↓ / Mladost DG → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 12% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG expected goals

Otrant-Olympic 2.30
Mladost DG 0.81

Total expected goals: 3.11

Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG attack and defence ratings

Otrant-Olympic

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Mladost DG

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG: result vs prediction

Otrant-Olympic 2 – 2 Mladost DG

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Otrant-Olympic 59.2% 1.69 +14.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.1% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Otrant-Olympic win 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Otrant-Olympic59.2%
Draw23.9%
Mladost DG16.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%
Both teams to scoreYes50.8%
No49.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.1%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)40.8%
Handicap -1Otrant-Olympic win47.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss30.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.8%
2-19.6%
1-09.4%

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG stats

Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG recent form

newest first
Otrant-Olympic WWLWWL
Mladost DG LLWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG going into this match

league record before kick-off

Otrant-Olympic record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Otrant-Olympic wins 1Draws 5Mladost DG wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Mladost DGOtrant-OlympicMontenegro First League2-1
2024-06-04Mladost DGOtrant-OlympicFirst League2-2
2024-05-31Otrant-OlympicMladost DGFirst League1-0
2024-02-10Mladost DGOtrant-OlympicFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-04-30Mladost DGOtrant-OlympicSecond League1-0
2023-03-18Otrant-OlympicMladost DGSecond League0-1
2022-10-22Mladost DGOtrant-OlympicSecond League3-0
2022-09-04Otrant-OlympicMladost DGSecond League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 25.5%, away 18.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.60 3.58 4.88
Bet365 1.65 3.50 4.50
Betano 1.65 3.55 4.90
Betfair 1.60 3.75 4.75
Dafabet 1.65 3.65 5.00
Marathonbet 1.58 3.58 4.75
Pinnacle 1.63 3.61 4.95
William Hill 1.65 3.30 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.64 ▲ +0.02
X 3.58 —
2 4.81 ▲ +0.06

2 snapshots recorded, from .