Mladost DG
vs
Jezero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mladost DG
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Mladost DG vs Jezero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost DG vs Jezero
| Probability | Mladost DG | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 23.7% | 30.5% |
| Market | 46.9% | 28.2% | 24.9% |
| Final | 46.6% | 27.1% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -1.1% | -4.5% | +5.6% |
Why Mladost DG
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.92, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mladost DG vs Jezero match preview
Mladost DG faces Jezero in a Montenegro First League match, with probabilities indicating a 46% chance of a Mladost DG victory, a 30% chance for Jezero, and a 24% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.95 for Mladost DG and 1.56 for Jezero. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 69% likelihood for both teams to find the net and a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form shows Mladost DG with a record of D-L-L-W-W-L, while Jezero has D-L-D-L-W-L. In their last five encounters, Mladost DG has secured 1 win, while Jezero has won 3 times and there has been 1 draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mladost DG and Jezero expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Mladost DG and Jezero attack and defence ratings
Mladost DG
Jezero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mladost DG vs Jezero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 46.6% | 2.14 | -1.1% | 1.92 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.84 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 46.6% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Jezero | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mladost DG win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Mladost DG vs Jezero stats
Mladost DG and Jezero recent form
| Mladost DG |
DLLWWL |
| Jezero |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mladost DG and Jezero season so far
Mladost DG record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jezero record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mladost DG vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Jezero | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Jezero | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mladost DG | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Mladost DG | Jezero | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Jezero | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mladost DG | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-24 | Mladost DG | Jezero | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Jezero | Mladost DG | First League | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Mladost DG | Jezero | First League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mladost DG vs Jezero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 28.2%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.18 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.18 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.63 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .