Arsenal Tivat
vs
Mornar
1 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | P. Vukcevic | ||
| 19′ | I. Vukcevic | ||
| 24′ | M. Zivanovic | ||
| 46′ | M. DjurisicS. Denkovic | ||
| 46′ | N. StijepovicB. Dubljevic | ||
| 49′ | F. Mitrovic | ||
| 60′ | Y. Yao | ||
| 63′ | V. Ljutica | ||
| 67′ | S. SesayM. Djukanovic | ||
| 67′ | K. VujacicA. Golub | ||
| 78′ | P. MalisicV. Kascelan | ||
| 81′ | P. VukcevicM. Rovcanin | ||
| 85′ | S. Mandic | ||
| 88′ | D. SkrijeljN. Medojevic |
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar
| Probability | Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Mornar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.4% | 31.1% | 41.4% |
| Market | 19.9% | 28.4% | 51.7% |
| Final | 21.8% | 29.0% | 49.1% |
| Edge | +7.5% | +2.8% | -10.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arsenal Tivat and Mornar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Arsenal Tivat and Mornar attack and defence ratings
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar: result vs prediction
Arsenal Tivat 1 – 2 Mornar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 49.1% | 2.04 | -10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Tivat | 21.8% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Mornar | 49.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar stats
Arsenal Tivat and Mornar recent form
| Arsenal Tivat |
LWLLLD |
| Mornar |
DDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arsenal Tivat and Mornar going into this match
Arsenal Tivat record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
Mornar record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Mornar | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Mornar | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-08 | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Mornar | Arsenal Tivat | Montenegro First League | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-14 | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar | First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Mornar | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar | First League | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Mornar | Arsenal Tivat | First League | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar | First League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 28.4%, away 51.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 3.20 | 1.71 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 4.71 | 3.22 | 1.76 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 2.90 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .