Montenegro First League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Sutjeska vs Bokelj

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 24% model probability

Stadion Gradski

Sutjeska 30%
Draw 39%
Bokelj 30%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
76%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
29%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
24% of simulated outcomes

Sutjeska vs Bokelj overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Bokelj

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySutjeskaDrawBokelj
Model30.4%39.4%30.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final30.4%39.4%30.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Sutjeska vs Bokelj match preview

Sutjeska and Bokelj are set to face off in a closely contested match, with Sutjeska holding a slight edge in the probabilities at 31%, while Bokelj stands at 30%, and a draw is forecasted at 39%. The expected goals for both teams are very close, with Sutjeska at 0.75 and Bokelj at 0.74, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair.

Recent form shows Sutjeska with a record of D-W-W-W-D-W, while Bokelj has a mixed form of W-D-W-L-D-D. Historically, Sutjeska has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, winning four times compared to Bokelj's single victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is a 0-0 draw, which aligns with the low probabilities for over 2.5 goals at 19% and both teams to score at 29%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sutjeska ↓ / Bokelj β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 16% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Sutjeska and Bokelj expected goals

Sutjeska 0.75
Bokelj 0.74

Total expected goals: 1.49

Sutjeska and Bokelj attack and defence ratings

Sutjeska

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Bokelj

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Sutjeska vs Bokelj markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 39.4% 2.53 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.2% 1.23 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 71.3% 1.40 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.9% 1.43 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 69.6% 1.44 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sutjeska30.4%
Draw39.4%
Bokelj30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.518.8%
Under 2.581.2%
Both teams to scoreYes28.7%
No71.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)60.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.6%
Handicap -1Sutjeska win9.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss69.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.9%
1-015.6%
0-115.5%

Sutjeska vs Bokelj stats

Sutjeska and Bokelj recent form

newest first
Sutjeska DWWWDW
Bokelj WDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sutjeska and Bokelj season so far

league record

Sutjeska record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bokelj record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sutjeska vs Bokelj head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Sutjeska wins 0Draws 1Bokelj wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09BokeljSutjeskaMontenegro First League1-0
2026-05-02BokeljSutjeskaMontenegro First League2-3
2026-03-07SutjeskaBokeljMontenegro First League2-1
2025-11-01BokeljSutjeskaMontenegro First League4-5
2025-08-30SutjeskaBokeljMontenegro First League5-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sutjeska vs Bokelj odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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