Montenegro First League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic

Garuda Lions Prediction: Otrant-Olympic

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Stadion Mitar Mico Golis, Petrovac

Petrovac 26%
Draw 28%
Otrant-Olympic 46%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Otrant-Olympic wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
52%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPetrovacDrawOtrant-Olympic
Model26.0%28.5%45.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final26.0%28.5%45.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Otrant-Olympic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic match preview

Petrovac faces Otrant-Olympic in the Montenegro First League, with the match set for October 19, 2026. According to our model, Petrovac has a 26% chance of winning, while Otrant-Olympic is favored at 45%. The probability of a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Otrant-Olympic, with expected goals of 1.07 for Petrovac and 1.48 for Otrant-Olympic.

Recent form shows Petrovac struggling with six matches without a win (L-L-D-D-D-D), while Otrant-Olympic has shown better performance with two wins in their last three matches (D-W-W-L-W-W). The likelihood of both teams scoring is 52%, and there is a 47% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Petrovac ↓ / Otrant-Olympic β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 9% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic expected goals

Petrovac 1.07
Otrant-Olympic 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.55

Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic attack and defence ratings

Petrovac

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Otrant-Olympic

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Otrant-Olympic 45.5% 2.20 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.0% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 54.5% 1.84 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Petrovac26.0%
Draw28.5%
Otrant-Olympic45.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.9%
Under 2.553.1%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.5%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)74.0%
Handicap -1Otrant-Olympic win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss54.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-110.3%
1-29.2%

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic stats

Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic recent form

newest first
Petrovac LLDDDD
Otrant-Olympic DWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic season so far

league record

Petrovac record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Otrant-Olympic record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Petrovac wins 1Draws 0Otrant-Olympic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09Otrant-OlympicPetrovacMontenegro First League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Otrant-Olympic Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now