Montenegro First League Β· Β·Matchday 10

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska

Garuda Lions Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica

Buducnost Podgorica 48%
Draw 32%
Sutjeska 20%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Buducnost Podgorica wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBuducnost PodgoricaDrawSutjeska
Model48.0%32.1%19.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final48.0%32.1%19.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Buducnost Podgorica

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.71.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska match preview

Buducnost Podgorica hosts Sutjeska in a Montenegro First League matchup on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 48% probability of a Buducnost Podgorica victory, while Sutjeska has a 20% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Buducnost Podgorica, with an expected goals tally of 1.26 for them compared to 0.71 for Sutjeska.

In terms of recent form, Buducnost Podgorica has recorded three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. Conversely, Sutjeska has been in strong form, with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters. The head-to-head record shows Buducnost Podgorica with three wins and Sutjeska with two wins in their last five meetings.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Buducnost Podg ↓ / Sutjeska β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska expected goals

Buducnost Podgorica 1.25
Sutjeska 0.71

Total expected goals: 1.96

Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska attack and defence ratings

Buducnost Podgorica

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Sutjeska

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Buducnost Podgorica 48.0% 2.08 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.8% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 62.5% 1.60 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.2% 1.25 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Buducnost Podgorica48.0%
Draw32.1%
Sutjeska19.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.2%
Under 2.568.8%
Both teams to scoreYes37.5%
No62.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.2%
12 (either side)67.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.0%
Handicap -1Buducnost Podgorica win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.4%
0-015.3%
1-113.7%

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska stats

Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Buducnost Podgorica and Sutjeska season so far

league record

Buducnost Podgorica record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sutjeska record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Buducnost Podgorica wins 2Draws 2Sutjeska wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-03SutjeskaBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League0-1
2026-04-12SutjeskaBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League2-0
2026-02-21Buducnost PodgoricaSutjeskaMontenegro First League2-1
2025-10-05SutjeskaBuducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First League0-2
2025-08-10Buducnost PodgoricaSutjeskaMontenegro First League0-1
2025-04-11SutjeskaBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League1-3
2025-02-22Buducnost PodgoricaSutjeskaFirst League2-0
2024-10-06SutjeskaBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League0-1
2024-08-11Buducnost PodgoricaSutjeskaFirst League1-1
2024-04-27Buducnost PodgoricaSutjeskaFirst League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Buducnost Podgorica Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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