Mornar
vs
Jezero
3 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | I. Martinovic | ||
| 21′ | J. Dasic | ||
| 26′ | I. Redzepagic | ||
| 27′ | A. Soussi | ||
| 39′ | Y. Yao | ||
| 43′ | V. Ljutica | ||
| 45′ | I. Tucevic | ||
| 53′ | P. Vukcevic | ||
| 59′ | J. DasicM. Djurisic | ||
| 59′ | Y. YaoS. Denkovic | ||
| 68′ | J. BaosicF. Mitrovic | ||
| 71′ | E. Redzepagic | ||
| 71′ | B. Krijestarac | ||
| 76′ | A. Soussi | ||
| 79′ | P. VukcevicM. Rovcanin | ||
| 82′ | A. SkrijeljM. Bojovic | ||
| 82′ | B. BoricicV. Terzic | ||
| 84′ | U. Bulatovic | ||
| 87′ | U. BulatovicN. Krivokapic | ||
| 87′ | D. JovanovicN. Fatic | ||
| 88′ | M. Djurisic |
Mornar vs Jezero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mornar vs Jezero
| Probability | Mornar | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.5% | 26.6% | 17.8% |
| Market | 60.1% | 25.0% | 14.9% |
| Final | 58.9% | 25.4% | 15.6% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +1.6% | +2.9% |
Why Mornar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mornar and Jezero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Mornar and Jezero attack and defence ratings
Mornar
Jezero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mornar vs Jezero: result vs prediction
Mornar 3 – 3 Jezero
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mornar vs Jezero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 58.9% | 1.70 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 58.9% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Jezero | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Mornar vs Jezero stats
Mornar and Jezero recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mornar and Jezero going into this match
Mornar record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Jezero record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Mornar vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Jezero | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Jezero | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Jezero | Mornar | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Mornar | Jezero | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Mornar | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Jezero | Mornar | Montenegro First League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Mornar | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Mornar | Jezero | First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Jezero | Mornar | First League | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-06 | Mornar | Jezero | First League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mornar vs Jezero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 25.0%, away 14.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.58 | 6.71 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.75 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 3.75 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 3.58 | 6.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 3.70 | 6.04 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .