Bokelj
vs
Petrovac
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bokelj
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 21% model probability
Bokelj vs Petrovac overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bokelj vs Petrovac
| Probability | Bokelj | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 29.5% | 11.1% |
| Market | 32.4% | 33.0% | 34.5% |
| Final | 39.2% | 32.1% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +27.0% | -3.6% | -23.5% |
Why Bokelj
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bokelj below the model: +27.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.90, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bokelj vs Petrovac match preview
Bokelj faces Petrovac in the Montenegro First League on October 8, 2026. Bokelj's recent form shows a mix of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. In contrast, Petrovac has struggled, recording six consecutive matches without a win, including four draws and two losses. According to our model, Bokelj has a 39% chance of winning, while Petrovac's chances stand at 29%, with a draw at 32%.
The expected goals for Bokelj are 1.39, compared to Petrovac's 0.46, indicating a significant offensive advantage for Bokelj. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Bokelj, with only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance for both teams to score. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Petrovac has dominated with seven wins.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bokelj and Petrovac expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
Bokelj and Petrovac attack and defence ratings
Bokelj
Petrovac
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bokelj vs Petrovac markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 39.2% | 2.55 | +27.0% | 2.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.4% | 1.40 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.7% | 2.46 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 39.2% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| Petrovac | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.6% |
| No | 71.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.7% | |
| Loss | 40.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.9% |
| 0-0 | 16.7% | |
| 2-0 | 15.3% |
Bokelj vs Petrovac stats
Bokelj and Petrovac recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bokelj and Petrovac season so far
Bokelj record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Bokelj vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Petrovac | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Bokelj | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Petrovac | Bokelj | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Petrovac | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Bokelj | Petrovac | Montenegro First League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-04 | Petrovac | Bokelj | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-14 | Petrovac | Bokelj | First League | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Bokelj | Petrovac | First League | 0-4 |
| 2024-11-10 | Petrovac | Bokelj | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Bokelj | Petrovac | First League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bokelj vs Petrovac odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 33.0%, away 34.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 2.65 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 2.65 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 2.70 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.50 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .