Mornar
vs
Otrant-Olympic
0 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | B. Banovic | ||
| 38′ | A. Taipi | ||
| 46′ | J. AgovicS. Kolic | ||
| 58′ | A. Kaludjerovic | ||
| 63′ | J. DasicM. Djurisic | ||
| 63′ | S. KrstovicL. Lambulic | ||
| 67′ | M. Djurisic | ||
| 67′ | Caique Chagas | ||
| 73′ | H. MuharemovicS. Muharem | ||
| 75′ | I. MartinovicM. Rovcanin | ||
| 85′ | D. SkrijeljB. Dubljevic | ||
| 89′ | A. TaipiE. Decbitric | ||
| 89′ | Caique ChagasB. Redzovic | ||
| 90′ | V. Radenovic |
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic
| Probability | Mornar | Draw | Otrant-Olympic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 29.3% | 20.9% |
| Market | 48.9% | 28.6% | 22.6% |
| Final | 49.1% | 28.7% | 22.1% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.7% | -1.7% |
Why Mornar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.85.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mornar and Otrant-Olympic expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Mornar and Otrant-Olympic attack and defence ratings
Mornar
Otrant-Olympic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic: result vs prediction
Mornar 0 – 1 Otrant-Olympic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 49.1% | 2.04 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mornar | 49.1% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Otrant-Olympic | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mornar win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic stats
Mornar and Otrant-Olympic recent form
| Mornar |
LWDWWD |
| Otrant-Olympic |
LWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mornar and Otrant-Olympic going into this match
Mornar record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Otrant-Olympic record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | Otrant-Olympic | Mornar | First League | 6-2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Mornar | Otrant-Olympic | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-02 | Otrant-Olympic | Mornar | First League | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-04 | Mornar | Otrant-Olympic | First League | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-04 | Otrant-Olympic | Mornar | Second League | 4-3 |
| 2020-03-08 | Mornar | Otrant-Olympic | Second League | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-13 | Otrant-Olympic | Mornar | Second League | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-25 | Mornar | Otrant-Olympic | Second League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 28.6%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.12 | 4.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.12 | 3.96 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.13 | 4.21 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .