Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat

1 – 2 Full time

17′Z. Mikijelj
26′M. Zivanovic
34′T. Selimi
45′N. Balevic
55′G. Petovic
60′D. PesukicN. Carevic
60′N. BalevicN. Janjic
67′S. Ficovic
72′I. VukcevicR. Faust
72′Z. DivanovicV. Strikovic
81′P. MalisicM. Djukanovic
82′V. Strikovic
84′I. Vukcevic
86′K. Vujacic
86′A. AbdullahiN. Erakovic
90′K. VujacicP. Soskic

Stadion Mitar Mico Golis, Petrovac

Petrovac 53%
Draw 29%
Arsenal Tivat 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPetrovacDrawArsenal Tivat
Model51.6%32.9%15.5%
Market53.8%28.2%18.0%
Final53.2%29.4%17.4%
Edge-2.2%+4.8%-2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Petrovac

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Petrovac ↓ / Arsenal Tivat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 20% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Petrovac and Arsenal Tivat expected goals

Petrovac 1.21
Arsenal Tivat 0.55

Total expected goals: 1.75

Petrovac and Arsenal Tivat attack and defence ratings

Petrovac

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Arsenal Tivat

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat: result vs prediction

Petrovac 1 – 2 Arsenal Tivat

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Petrovac 53.2% 1.88 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 69.4% 1.44 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Petrovac53.2%
Draw29.4%
Arsenal Tivat17.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.8%
Under 2.574.2%
Both teams to scoreYes30.6%
No69.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.6%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1Petrovac win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)27.5%
Loss48.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.8%
0-018.4%
2-012.7%

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat stats

Petrovac and Arsenal Tivat recent form

newest first
Petrovac DDDDWD
Arsenal Tivat LLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Petrovac and Arsenal Tivat going into this match

league record before kick-off

Petrovac record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Arsenal Tivat record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Petrovac wins 5Draws 2Arsenal Tivat wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Arsenal TivatPetrovacMontenegro First League3-1
2026-03-01PetrovacArsenal TivatMontenegro First League1-0
2025-10-29Arsenal TivatPetrovacMontenegro First League3-2
2025-08-24PetrovacArsenal TivatMontenegro First League0-0
2025-05-04PetrovacArsenal TivatFirst League2-0
2025-03-08Arsenal TivatPetrovacFirst League1-2
2024-10-27PetrovacArsenal TivatFirst League0-0
2024-08-25Arsenal TivatPetrovacFirst League1-1
2024-05-12PetrovacArsenal TivatFirst League2-2
2024-03-13Arsenal TivatPetrovacFirst League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.8%, draw 28.2%, away 18.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.18 5.21
Bet365 1.67 3.25 4.75
BetVictor 1.67 3.30 5.25
Betano 1.72 3.25 4.90
Betfair 1.70 3.25 4.75
Marathonbet 1.66 3.18 5.10
Pinnacle 1.72 3.20 5.07
William Hill 1.70 2.90 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▲ +0.04
X 3.23 ▼ -0.03
2 5.04 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .