Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Sutjeska vs Dečić

2 – 0 Full time

29′Sutjeska
72′Sutjeska
77′Sutjeska
83′Sutjeska
83′Dečić
84′Sutjeska
87′Dečić
88′Sutjeska

Stadion Gradski

Sutjeska 42%
Draw 30%
Dečić 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sutjeska vs Dečić overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sutjeska vs Dečić

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySutjeskaDrawDečić
Model35.4%33.7%30.9%
Market44.3%29.4%26.4%
Final42.0%30.4%27.5%
Edge-8.8%+4.3%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sutjeska ↓ / Dečić → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Sutjeska and Dečić expected goals

Sutjeska 1.03
Dečić 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.98

Sutjeska and Dečić attack and defence ratings

Sutjeska

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Dečić

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sutjeska vs Dečić: result vs prediction

Sutjeska 2 – 0 Dečić

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Sutjeska vs Dečić markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sutjeska 42.0% 2.38 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.6% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sutjeska42.0%
Draw30.4%
Dečić27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.9%
Under 2.568.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.9%
No59.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)69.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Sutjeska win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss64.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.1%
1-114.9%
1-012.9%

Sutjeska vs Dečić stats

Sutjeska and Dečić recent form

newest first
Sutjeska WDWDLL
Dečić DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sutjeska and Dečić going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sutjeska record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Dečić record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Sutjeska vs Dečić head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Sutjeska wins 3Draws 3Dečić wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16SutjeskaDečićMontenegro First League3-0
2026-03-15DečićSutjeskaMontenegro First League1-2
2025-11-26DečićSutjeskaCup2-1
2025-11-22SutjeskaDečićMontenegro First League3-1
2025-09-17DečićSutjeskaMontenegro First League3-1
2025-04-06DečićSutjeskaFirst League0-1
2024-12-07SutjeskaDečićFirst League1-1
2024-10-02DečićSutjeskaFirst League0-0
2024-08-04SutjeskaDečićFirst League1-1
2024-05-18SutjeskaDečićFirst League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sutjeska vs Dečić odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 29.4%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.00 3.56
Bet365 2.05 3.10 3.25
BetVictor 2.05 3.10 3.50
Betano 2.10 3.15 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.10 3.40
Marathonbet 2.03 3.00 3.48
Pinnacle 2.05 3.08 3.58
William Hill 2.05 2.80 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.05
X 3.09 ▲ +0.01
2 3.44 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .