Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Mladost DG vs Dečić

2 – 0 Full time

9′S. Radinovic
31′M. Djokaj
49′L. Knezevic
58′D. Kontic
60′D. MugosaN. Cordoba
60′J. NikolicM. Lalevic
60′A. CetkovicI. Camaj
60′M. DjokajP. Pavlicevic
73′B. RadusinovicM. Jukovic
76′M. Lalevic
78′N. PavlicevicS. Mijovic
80′P. LjuljdjurajA. Adzovic
80′M. BozanovicP. Ivanovic
89′A. JovanovicJ. Roganovic
89′L. KnezevicV. Mijovic

DG Arena, Podgorica

Mladost DG 25%
Draw 29%
Dečić 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mladost DG vs Dečić overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mladost DG vs Dečić

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMladost DGDrawDečić
Model25.7%28.9%45.4%
Market24.2%29.3%46.5%
Final24.6%29.2%46.3%
Edge+1.5%-0.3%-1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Dečić

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mladost DG ↓ / Dečić → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 11% 9% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Mladost DG and Dečić expected goals

Mladost DG 1.03
Dečić 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.48

Mladost DG and Dečić attack and defence ratings

Mladost DG

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Dečić

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mladost DG vs Dečić: result vs prediction

Mladost DG 2 – 0 Dečić

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Mladost DG vs Dečić markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dečić 46.3% 2.16 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mladost DG24.6%
Draw29.2%
Dečić46.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.7%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)75.4%
Handicap -1Dečić win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-110.9%
0-09.6%

Mladost DG vs Dečić stats

Mladost DG and Dečić recent form

newest first
Mladost DG LDLLWW
Dečić WWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mladost DG and Dečić going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mladost DG record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Dečić record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Mladost DG vs Dečić head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Mladost DG wins 0Draws 6Dečić wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-08Mladost DGDečićMontenegro First League2-1
2025-12-10DečićMladost DGMontenegro First League3-4
2025-10-01Mladost DGDečićMontenegro First League1-2
2025-08-04DečićMladost DGMontenegro First League3-2
2024-04-21DečićMladost DGFirst League2-0
2024-02-28Mladost DGDečićFirst League0-3
2023-10-21DečićMladost DGFirst League4-1
2023-08-13Mladost DGDečićFirst League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mladost DG vs Dečić odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 29.1%, away 46.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.76 3.10 1.95
Bet365 3.75 3.20 1.85
Betano 3.60 3.20 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.10 2.00
Dafabet 3.45 3.15 2.12
Marathonbet 3.68 3.10 1.93
Pinnacle 3.77 3.11 1.98
William Hill 3.60 2.88 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.75 ▲ +0.22
X 3.10 —
2 1.95 ▼ -0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .