Montenegro First League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica

2 – 0 Full time

8′V. Rudovic
38′S. Krstovic
39′S. RadojevicM. Durickovic
44′M. Durickovic
46′L. PopovicM. Raspopovic
48′M. Raspopovic
59′A. BosnjakH. Muharemovic
59′S. KrstovicL. Lambulic
61′P. JasovicN. Kovinic
61′P. VujovicA. Camaj
66′Caique Chagas
78′Caique ChagasB. Banovic
78′V. RadenovicE. Decbitric
78′S. OsmanM. Scepanovic
82′A. TaipiM. Uskokovic
86′I. Bojovic
87′J. Agovic
88′M. Uskokovic
90′A. Orahovac

Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica

Otrant-Olympic 39%
Draw 32%
Buducnost Podgorica 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOtrant-OlympicDrawBuducnost Podgorica
Model45.2%34.9%20.0%
Market36.3%30.4%33.3%
Final38.6%31.5%29.9%
Edge+8.9%+4.5%-13.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Otrant-Olympic

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Otrant-Olympic below the model: +8.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Otrant-Olympic ↓ / Buducnost Podg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 10% 1 18% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Otrant-Olympic and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals

Otrant-Olympic 1.09
Buducnost Podgorica 0.63

Total expected goals: 1.73

Otrant-Olympic and Buducnost Podgorica attack and defence ratings

Otrant-Olympic

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Buducnost Podgorica

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica: result vs prediction

Otrant-Olympic 2 – 0 Buducnost Podgorica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Montenegro First League

Before and after this match

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Otrant-Olympic 38.6% 2.59 +8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.0% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score No 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Otrant-Olympic38.6%
Draw31.5%
Buducnost Podgorica29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.0%
Under 2.575.0%
Both teams to scoreYes32.5%
No67.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)68.5%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1Otrant-Olympic win19.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.8%
Loss54.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.0%
1-018.2%
1-113.6%

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica stats

Otrant-Olympic and Buducnost Podgorica recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Otrant-Olympic and Buducnost Podgorica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Otrant-Olympic record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Buducnost Podgorica record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Otrant-Olympic wins 1Draws 3Buducnost Podgorica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-10Otrant-OlympicBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League0-1
2025-03-12Buducnost PodgoricaOtrant-OlympicFirst League5-1
2024-11-02Otrant-OlympicBuducnost PodgoricaFirst League0-3
2024-08-31Buducnost PodgoricaOtrant-OlympicFirst League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Otrant-Olympic vs Buducnost Podgorica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 30.2%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 2.93 2.71
Bet365 2.40 3.00 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.00 2.75
Betano 2.50 3.10 2.72
Betfair 2.40 3.00 2.80
Dafabet 2.50 3.05 2.85
Marathonbet 2.48 2.93 2.71
Pinnacle 2.51 3.03 2.76
William Hill 2.45 2.80 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.48 ▲ +0.01
X 2.96 ▼ -0.05
2 2.71 ▼ -0.06

2 snapshots recorded, from .