Jezero
vs
Buducnost Podgorica
Garuda Lions Prediction: Buducnost Podgorica
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica
| Probability | Jezero | Draw | Buducnost Podgorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 27.2% | 43.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.3% | 27.2% | 43.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Buducnost Podgorica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica match preview
Jezero faces Buducnost Podgorica in a Montenegro First League match on November 13, 2026. According to our model, Jezero has a 29% chance of winning, while Buducnost Podgorica is favored with a 44% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for Jezero and 1.57 for Buducnost Podgorica. Additionally, there is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Jezero has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Buducnost Podgorica has been in strong form, with five wins and one draw in their last six games. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Jezero has won two, drawn three, and lost five against Buducnost Podgorica.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica attack and defence ratings
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jezero | 29.3% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 43.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Buducnost Podgorica win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.2% |
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica stats
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica recent form
| Jezero |
WDLDDL |
| Buducnost Podgorica |
WWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica season so far
Jezero record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
Buducnost Podgorica record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Buducnost Podgorica | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Buducnost Podgorica | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Jezero | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Buducnost Podgorica | Jezero | Montenegro First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-04 | Jezero | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-14 | Buducnost Podgorica | Jezero | First League | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-16 | Jezero | Buducnost Podgorica | First League | 3-3 |
| 2024-11-09 | Buducnost Podgorica | Jezero | First League | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Jezero | Buducnost Podgorica | First League | 0-2 |
| 2024-05-30 | Jezero | Buducnost Podgorica | Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.