NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Åssiden IF
vs
Notodden
0 – 4 Full time
Åssiden IF
34%
Draw
20%
Notodden
47%
Åssiden IF vs Notodden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Åssiden IF vs Notodden
| Probability | Åssiden IF | Draw | Notodden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 19.8% | 46.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.7% | 19.8% | 46.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Notodden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 2.11.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
96%
3+ goals
86%
No goals
1%
Åssiden IF and Notodden expected goals
Åssiden IF
2.11
Notodden
2.69
Total expected goals: 4.80
Åssiden IF and Notodden attack and defence ratings
Åssiden IF
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Notodden
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Åssiden IF vs Notodden: result vs prediction
Åssiden IF 0 – 4 Notodden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Åssiden IF vs Notodden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notodden | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Åssiden IF | 33.7% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Notodden | 46.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.9% |
| No | 18.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Notodden win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.9% |
| 1-2 | 6.4% | |
| 2-3 | 5.8% |
Åssiden IF vs Notodden stats
Åssiden IF and Notodden recent form
| Åssiden IF |
no matches on record |
| Notodden |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.