Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb

2 – 3 Full time

12′B. Bjerkan
23′S. Aas
49′D. Soderberg
52′T. Nordbo
72′K. Andersen
79′J. Hammerli
Notodden 18%
Draw 20%
ODD Ballklubb 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNotoddenDrawODD Ballklubb
Model8.9%12.1%79.0%
Market21.6%23.3%55.1%
Final18.4%20.5%61.1%
Edge-12.6%-11.2%+23.8%

Confidence: Low

Why ODD Ballklubb

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.53 vs 1.27.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices ODD Ballklubb below the model: +23.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Notodden ↓ / ODD Ballklubb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 17% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 86%
No goals 1%

Notodden and ODD Ballklubb expected goals

Notodden 1.27
ODD Ballklubb 3.53

Total expected goals: 4.80

Notodden and ODD Ballklubb attack and defence ratings

Notodden

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.05 +5%

ODD Ballklubb

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb: result vs prediction

Notodden 2 – 3 ODD Ballklubb

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ODD Ballklubb 61.1% 1.64 +23.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.8% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.1% 1.43 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.6% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 ODD Ballklubb win 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Notodden18.4%
Draw20.5%
ODD Ballklubb61.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.8%
Under 2.514.2%
Both teams to scoreYes70.1%
No29.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.9%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)81.6%
Handicap -1ODD Ballklubb win62.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.2%
Loss21.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-37.7%
1-46.8%
1-26.5%

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb stats

Notodden and ODD Ballklubb recent form

newest first
Notodden WL
ODD Ballklubb LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Notodden wins 0Draws 5ODD Ballklubb wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-24ODD BallklubbNotoddenFriendlies Clubs4-1
2024-01-26ODD BallklubbNotoddenFriendlies Clubs5-0
2023-06-01NotoddenODD BallklubbNM Cupen2-5
2023-01-27ODD BallklubbNotoddenFriendlies Clubs4-1
2023-01-27NotoddenODD BallklubbFriendlies Clubs1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Notodden vs ODD Ballklubb odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 23.3%, away 55.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.39 3.96 1.67
Bet365 3.75 4.00 1.67
BetVictor 4.33 3.90 1.67
Betano 3.85 4.00 1.72
Betfair 4.33 4.00 1.60
Marathonbet 4.40 3.96 1.65
Pinnacle 4.01 3.72 1.65
William Hill 4.20 3.60 1.67

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.