NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Brodd
vs
Viking
1 – 3 Full time
| 35′ | F. Taraldset | ||
| 50′ | J. Hansen | ||
| 54′ | J. Hansen | ||
| 69′ | H. J. Haugen |
Brodd
7%
Draw
13%
Viking
80%
Brodd vs Viking overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brodd vs Viking
| Probability | Brodd | Draw | Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.1% | 13.1% | 79.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 7.1% | 13.1% | 79.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Viking
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 0.88.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
2%
Brodd and Viking expected goals
Brodd
0.88
Viking
3.05
Total expected goals: 3.93
Brodd and Viking attack and defence ratings
Brodd
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Viking
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.60 -40%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brodd vs Viking: result vs prediction
Brodd 1 – 3 Viking
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brodd vs Viking markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brodd | 7.1% |
| Draw | 13.1% | |
| Viking | 79.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 20.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 61.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 20.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 9.3% |
| 0-2 | 9.1% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |