NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Christiania BK
vs
Valerenga
2 – 7 Full time
Christiania BK
18%
Draw
17%
Valerenga
64%
Christiania BK vs Valerenga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Christiania BK vs Valerenga
| Probability | Christiania BK | Draw | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.1% | 17.4% | 64.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.1% | 17.4% | 64.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Valerenga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 1.56.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
82%
No goals
2%
Christiania BK and Valerenga expected goals
Christiania BK
1.56
Valerenga
2.89
Total expected goals: 4.44
Christiania BK and Valerenga attack and defence ratings
Christiania BK
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Valerenga
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Christiania BK vs Valerenga: result vs prediction
Christiania BK 2 – 7 Valerenga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Christiania BK vs Valerenga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valerenga | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Valerenga win | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Christiania BK | 18.1% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Valerenga | 64.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.1% |
| No | 24.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valerenga win | 45.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 35.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.6% |
| 1-3 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 5.9% |
Christiania BK vs Valerenga stats
Christiania BK and Valerenga recent form
| Christiania BK |
no matches on record |
| Valerenga |
DLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.