Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Langevag vs Aalesund

0 – 13 Full time

Langevag 34%
Draw 21%
Aalesund 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Langevag vs Aalesund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Langevag vs Aalesund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLangevagDrawAalesund
Model34.3%20.8%44.9%
Market———
Final34.3%20.8%44.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Langevag ↓ / Aalesund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 5% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4% 5% 4% 4% 4+ 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Langevag and Aalesund expected goals

Langevag 2.03
Aalesund 2.32

Total expected goals: 4.35

Langevag and Aalesund attack and defence ratings

Langevag

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Aalesund

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Langevag vs Aalesund: result vs prediction

Langevag 0 – 13 Aalesund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Langevag vs Aalesund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aalesund 44.9% 2.23 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 79.0% 1.27 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Langevag34.3%
Draw20.8%
Aalesund44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.9%
Under 2.519.1%
Both teams to scoreYes79.0%
No21.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Aalesund win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
1-27.0%
1-16.7%

Langevag vs Aalesund stats

Langevag and Aalesund recent form

newest first
Langevag no matches on record
Aalesund DDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Langevag vs Aalesund head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Langevag vs Aalesund odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.