Lørenskog vs Moss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lørenskog vs Moss
| Probability | Lørenskog | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 20.9% | 51.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.2% | 20.9% | 51.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Moss
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Lørenskog and Moss expected goals
Lørenskog
1.64
Moss
2.45
Total expected goals: 4.09
Lørenskog and Moss attack and defence ratings
Lørenskog
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Moss
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lørenskog vs Moss: result vs prediction
Lørenskog 0 – 3 Moss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lørenskog vs Moss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lørenskog | 27.2% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Moss | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.0% |
| No | 25.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 45.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.5% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |