Midsund vs Molde overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Midsund vs Molde
| Probability | Midsund | Draw | Molde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.8% | 19.8% | 60.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Molde
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.36.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
76%
No goals
3%
Midsund and Molde expected goals
Midsund
1.36
Molde
2.61
Total expected goals: 3.97
Midsund and Molde attack and defence ratings
Midsund
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Molde
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Midsund vs Molde: result vs prediction
Midsund 0 – 11 Molde
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Midsund vs Molde markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Molde | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midsund | 19.8% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Molde | 60.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.3% |
| No | 29.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win | 43.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 36.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-3 | 7.3% |