Råde vs Follo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Råde vs Follo
| Probability | Råde | Draw | Follo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.1% | 19.2% | 62.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.1% | 19.2% | 62.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Follo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
76%
No goals
2%
Råde and Follo expected goals
Råde
1.35
Follo
2.65
Total expected goals: 4.00
Råde and Follo attack and defence ratings
Råde
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Follo
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Råde vs Follo: result vs prediction
Råde 1 – 2 Follo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Råde vs Follo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Follo | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Follo win | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Råde | 18.1% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Follo | 62.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Follo win | 44.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 1-3 | 7.5% |