Hibernian
vs
Dundee
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dundee
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Hibernian vs Dundee overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernian vs Dundee
| Probability | Hibernian | Draw | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 29.3% | 37.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.0% | 29.3% | 37.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dundee
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Hibernian vs Dundee match preview
Hibernian faces Dundee in an upcoming Scotland Premiership match with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Hibernian has a 33% chance of winning, while Dundee is slightly favored at 38%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 0-1, with expected goals of 1.22 for Hibernian and 1.32 for Dundee. Recent form shows Hibernian struggling with five consecutive losses, while Dundee has mixed results, including two wins in their last five matches.
In terms of scoring, there is a 53% likelihood that both teams will find the net, and a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Historically, Hibernian has performed well against Dundee, winning three of their last four encounters. The confidence grade for this match is rated C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hibernian and Dundee expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Hibernian and Dundee attack and defence ratings
Hibernian
Dundee
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hibernian vs Dundee markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 33.0% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Dundee | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dundee win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Hibernian vs Dundee stats
Hibernian and Dundee recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hibernian and Dundee season so far
Hibernian record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Dundee record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hibernian vs Dundee head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dundee | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Dundee | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Hibernian | Dundee | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Dundee | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.