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K League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 29

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC

2 – 2 Full time

4′Kim Joo-Chan
20′Kim Min-kyu
36′Abdallah HleihelChoe Byeong-chan
36′Abdelkarim ChaoucheHong Chul
43′Park Se-jin
45′Kim Gun-heePark Sang-Hyeok
45′Kim Joo-ChanHong Yun-sang
63′Park Ho-yeongKim Dong-hyeon
64′Park Cheol-Woo
70′Goh Young-junJung Seung-bin
73′Park Cheol-WooHong Si-hoo
73′Park Se-jinLee Sang-heon
74′Kim Dae-won
82′Kim Yi-seokPark Tae-joon
87′Marko Tuci
90′Kim Dae-won
90′Lee Sang-heonJung Jae-min

Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 34%
Draw 31%
Gangwon FC 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

2 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 2
44 Possession % 56
5 Corners 5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimcheon Sangmu FCDrawGangwon FC
Model27.5%33.8%38.7%
Market36.5%29.6%33.8%
Final34.3%30.7%35.1%
Edge-9.0%+4.1%+4.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Gangwon FC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Gangwon FC below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimcheon Sangm ↓ / Gangwon FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 14% 8% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC expected goals

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.87
Gangwon FC 1.08

Total expected goals: 1.95

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC attack and defence ratings

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Gangwon FC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC: result vs prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 – 2 Gangwon FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gangwon FC 35.1% 2.85 +4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score No 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.3% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimcheon Sangmu FC34.3%
Draw30.7%
Gangwon FC35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.9%
Under 2.569.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.7%
No60.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Gangwon FC win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.6%
1-114.7%
0-114.1%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC stats

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC recent form

newest first
Gimcheon Sangmu FC DDLDDD
Gangwon FC DWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimcheon Sangmu FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gangwon FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins 1Draws 5Gangwon FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Gangwon FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-0
2026-04-21Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FCK League 10-3
2025-11-08Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FCK League 10-1
2025-08-09Gangwon FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-0
2025-05-11Gangwon FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 10-4
2025-03-30Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FCK League 11-0
2024-10-26Gangwon FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 11-0
2024-08-09Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FCK League 11-2
2024-06-22Gangwon FCGimcheon Sangmu FCK League 12-3
2024-04-27Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FCK League 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 29.7%, away 33.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.56 3.14 2.75
888Sport 2.50 3.00 2.75
Bet365 2.50 3.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.55 3.20 2.75
Betano 2.57 3.15 2.77
Betfair 2.45 3.25 2.75
Dafabet 2.65 3.25 2.80
Marathonbet 2.56 3.14 2.75
Pinnacle 2.62 3.25 2.87
SBO 2.45 2.91 2.51
Unibet 2.85 3.00 2.25
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.33
X 3.14 ▼ -0.01
2 2.75 ▲ +0.29

7 snapshots recorded, from .