K League 1
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Gangwon FC
vs
Jeju United FC
0 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Jang Min-gyu | ||
| 36′ | Italo Moreira Barcelos | ||
| 45′ | Kim Dong-hyeonChoe Byeong-chan | ||
| 45′ | Kim Gun-heeGoh Young-jun | ||
| 46′ | Seong-Yun Kang | ||
| 54′ | Seong-Yun KangJung Seung-bin | ||
| 55′ | Jeong WoonKim Ryun-sung | ||
| 64′ | Jesse SekidikaAbdallah Hleihel | ||
| 70′ | Choi Byung-WookEraldo Cinari | ||
| 70′ | Kim Shin-jinShin Sang-Eun | ||
| 75′ | Hong ChulAbdelkarim Chaouche | ||
| 82′ | Park Su-binKi-Min Kwon | ||
| 82′ | Jang Min-gyuJulien Celestine | ||
| 90′ | Kim Jae-woo | ||
| 90′ | Park Ho-yeong | ||
| 90′ | Emerson Negueba |
Gangwon FC
41%
Draw
28%
Jeju United FC
31%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC
| Probability | Gangwon FC | Draw | Jeju United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 28.9% | 41.2% |
| Market | 44.5% | 28.3% | 27.2% |
| Final | 40.9% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -14.7% | +0.6% | +14.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC expected goals
Gangwon FC
1.16
Jeju United FC
1.40
Total expected goals: 2.56
Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC attack and defence ratings
Gangwon FC
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Jeju United FC
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC: result vs prediction
Gangwon FC 0 – 1 Jeju United FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gangwon FC | 40.9% | 2.45 | -14.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gangwon FC | 40.9% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Jeju United FC | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gangwon FC win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 70.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC stats
Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC recent form
| Gangwon FC |
DDWDDL |
| Jeju United FC |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gangwon FC and Jeju United FC going into this match
Gangwon FC record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeju United FC record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Gangwon FC wins
7Draws
0Jeju United FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Jeju United FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Gangwon FC | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Jeju United FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-06 | Jeju United FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-02 | Gangwon FC | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Gangwon FC | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 4-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Jeju United FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Gangwon FC | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-28 | Gangwon FC | Jeju United FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-06 | Jeju United FC | Gangwon FC | K League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 28.3%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.30 | 3.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.43 | 3.55 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.89 | 2.97 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.09 —
X
3.30 ▼ -0.02
2
3.43 ▼ -0.03
10 snapshots recorded, from .